“Forecast Summary: Growth in national health expenditures (NHE) in the United States is projected to be 6.1 percent in 2008. National health spending is expected to increase from $2.2 billion in 2007 to $2.4 billion in 2008. Average annual NHE growth is expected to be 6.2 percent per year for 2008 through 2018. Over the full projection period (2008-2018), average annual health spending growth is anticipated outpace average annual growth in the overall economy (4.1 percent) by 2.1 percentage points per year. By 2018, national health spending is expected to reach $4.4 trillion and comprise just over one-fifth (20.3 percent) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).”
See also, Health Affairs article: Sisko et al, Health Spending Projections Through 2018: Recession Effects Add Uncertainty To The Outlook: “Payment trends for public and private payers are expected to diverge in 2009, as more people become eligible for public coverage because of recession-related effects.”
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