Independent Assessment of the Afghan  National Security Forces.  This assessment, tasked by the United States Congress, was made by analysts in CNA’s Center for Strategic Studies. This report (DRM-2014-U-006815-Final) is approved for distribution: January 2014.

“We conclude that the security environment in Afghanistan will become more challenging after the drawdown of most international forces in 2014, and that the Taliban insurgency will become a greater threat to Afghanistan’s stability in the 2015–2018 timeframe than it is now.”