Follow up to postings on the Gulf Coast oil spill, this news release: “On May 27, the Plume Modeling Team, which analyzed video obtained from BP, provided an initial lower bound estimate of 12,000 to 25,000 barrels of oil per day, but at that point were continuing their work to provide an upper bound estimate.”
Pooling Expert Assessments, Antonio Possolo, Pedro Espina. June 8th, 2010. Summary: “In the course of the Plume Team telecon of Monday, June 7th, six experts produced estimates of the average number of barrels of oil leaked per day from all sources of leaks that had been evaluated. Applying a statistical procedure to reconcile assessments made by multiple experts produces an interval that, with 95% confidence, should include the true value of that average: this interval ranges from 15 to 40 thousand barrels of oil per day.”
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