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Category Archives: Housing

The 30-Year Mortgage Wasn’t Designed for Climate Chaos

Bloomberg: “…A different kind of perfect storm had hit the Pelleys: volatile weather, a country failing to keep up with rising flood risk and a mortgage industry writing loans without considering the future of the environment around the home. Homeowners in Florida and California have already been trying to reconcile their mortgage duration and dwindling insurance options with neighborhoods that may not live to see 30 years. In a nation where long-term loans are the gateway to homeownership for most families, climate change is rewriting the basic assumptions about risk.  The lending industry relies on insurance to absorb some of the risk of mortgages failing. And the insurance industry is largely predicated on the idea that if a home is damaged or destroyed, a comparable structure should be rebuilt on the same spot. This model will have trouble accommodating land changed beyond recognition, no longer able to host a dwelling.  As the chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, US Senator Sheldon Whitehouse has been outspoken about the rising costs associated with climate change. “The fundamental problem here is that you have properties that in a fixed period of time are going to have no real value because of the risk of fire or flood,” says Whitehouse, a Democrat from Rhode Island who sits on the Environment and Public Works Committee.  Economists are beginning to sound warnings, urging the mortgage industry and insurers to face the risky reality that annual insurance policies cannot always be reconciled with 30-year loans. But the big business of housing hasn’t adopted climate underwriting. There’s no high interest rate penalty for buying in an area that’s a fire risk. There’s no climate credit score    The industries responsible for making sure homes keep selling are not adequately accounting for the rising but often invisible climate risk threatening American homes. That means the soaring costs due after a major weather event will land on individual consumers — and, eventually, the federal government. This feedback loop will intensify as disaster recovery costs soar and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) must backstop more failed mortgages.  “The risk is not borne by the entity that originates the loan,” says Benjamin Keys, a professor of real estate and finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School. “The risk is borne by the US taxpayer.” And, like the Pelleys, some of those taxpayers will be left to rebuild their lives and homes on their own.  Somewhere in the backwaters of Wall Street, the Pelleys’ home loan, on a house that no longer exists, is bundled together with thousands of others into a financial instrument called a mortgage-backed security. The entire system is de facto nationalized, buoyed by the federal government via the Federal Housing Finance Agency. That agency oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which back 58% of home loans in the US. Additionally, 22% of outstanding residential mortgages are backed by agencies like the Federal Housing Authority, Rural Housing Authority, and VA. These enterprises chug along quietly, siphoning up mortgages. The FHFA system, which is only for residential loans, is the outcome of the too-big-to-fail financial crisis in 2008, where the federal government stepped in to prevent the housing crisis from bankrupting the nation…”

Insurers Are Deserting Homeowners as Climate Shocks Worsen

The New York Times – Without insurance, it’s impossible to get a mortgage; without a mortgage, most Americans can’t buy a home…Without insurance, you can’t get a mortgage; without a mortgage, most Americans can’t buy a home. Communities that are deemed too dangerous to insure face the risk of falling property values, which means less… Continue Reading

New real estate platform lets homebuyers check their neighbors’ political affiliations

New York Post: “A new real estate platform is giving homebuyers an unprecedented peek into their potential neighborhoods — revealing everything from political leanings to local demographics — before they even commit to buying. Oyssey, a tech startup soft-launching this month in South Florida and New York City, lets buyers access neighborhood political affiliations based… Continue Reading

Inescapable AI

A Report from TechTonic Justice – Inescapable AI The Ways AI Decides How Low-Income People Work, Live, Learn, and Survive – “The use of artificial intelligence, or AI, by governments, landlords, employers, and other powerful private interests restricts the opportunities of low-income people in every basic aspect of life: at home, at work, in school,… Continue Reading

Buyers: Results from the Zillow Consumer Housing Trends Report 2024

Zillow: “High interest rates and home values mark continued affordability challenges for buyers. While these trends reshape the homebuying process and buyers’ plans and preferences, many buyers’ behaviors, intentions, and preferences have remained relatively stable over the years. Amid the flurry of challenges, much of the for-sale market remains following the pandemic-catalyzed new ‘normal.’ The 2023… Continue Reading

Billionaire Blowback on Housing and The American Housing Crisis: A Theft, Not a Shortage

How concentrated wealth disrupts housing markets and worsens the housing affordability crisis. By Chuck Collins, Omar Ocampo, Amee Chew – Across the United States, communities are facing an acute housing affordability crisis. Rents and homelessness are rising while home ownership feels increasingly out of reach for millions. What’s driving that crisis? In a word, inequality.… Continue Reading

A baseline structure inventory with critical attribution for the US and its territories

Data is Plural: “Leveraging high performance computing, remote sensing, geographic data science, machine learning, and computer vision,” Hsiuhan Lexie Yang et al., researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, have “partnered with Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to build a baseline structure inventory covering the US and its territories to support disaster preparedness, response, and recovery.”… Continue Reading

Where climate change poses the most and least risk to American homeowners

Washington Post – [unpaywalled] This article includes searchable databases as follows: Find your county’s climate risk. AlphaGeo, a climate modeling group, analyzed the risks in every county. Type in your county below to see which exist in your area. Figure out your state’s disclosure laws. More than one third of states don’t require sellers to… Continue Reading

The Civil Rights Implications of Federal Use of Facial Recognition Technology

The Civil Rights Implications of the Federal Use of Facial Recognition Technology. September 19, 2024. Meaningful federal guidelines and oversight for responsible FRT use have lagged behind the application of this technology in real-world scenarios. With the advent of biometric technology and its widespread use by both private and government entities, the Commission studied how… Continue Reading

Plastic is embedded into every aspect of modern life

Beat Pollution – Plastic is embedded into every aspect of modern life, from what we wear, how we travel and what we eat. But where exactly is all this plastic coming from? Since the 1950s, 9.2 billion tonnes of plastic have been produced, of which 7 billion tonnes have become waste, filling up landfills and… Continue Reading

Explore Sea Level Change in the Coastal U.S.

View past, present, and future sea level rise and related flood impacts for the coastlines of the United States. Select a state and location or search by region. The Federal Government delivers essential science and services to help our nation understand and address the challenges that sea level rise poses for coastal communities. Through interagency… Continue Reading