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CBO: The Effects of Automatic Stabilizers on the Federal Budget

The Effects of Automatic Stabilizers on the Federal Budget, May 2010

  • “Fluctuations in the budget deficit are influenced by legislation that governs taxation and spending and by the automatic responses of revenues and outlays to developments in the economy and other factors. This report focuses on a component of the latter group—the automatic stabilizers—that reflect cyclical movements in real (inflation-adjusted) output and unemployment. During cyclical slowdowns and recessions, the economy grows more slowly than it could if it achieved its potential, and revenue growth declines automatically as well. In addition, some spending—for example, to pay unemployment insurance claims or to provide federal nutrition benefits—automatically increases. Those automatic reductions in revenues and increases in outlays help to bolster the economy, but they also temporarily increase the budget deficit. The opposite occurs when there are upturns in the business cycle; that is, automatic stabilizers tend to shrink as the economy moves toward its potential output.”
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