Just Security: “This updated article provides an overview of the potential procedural pathways for former President Donald Trump’s ongoing appeal of his federal prosecution for election interference by Special Counsel Jack Smith. Now that the DC Circuit issued its opinion on Tuesday, Feb. 6 [see link below], we lay out the possible paths forward for the appeals process from here and the potential timing of a trial start date. As before, our analysis is based on the assumption that Trump will lose before the courts, given the weaknesses of his argument for immunity, and the question is how long it will take the judicial system to reach that final conclusion. Our analysis suggests that a trial, which is anticipated to last between 8 and 12 weeks, may conclude in late August or early September if the Supreme Court denies Trump’s eventual cert petition or in mid to late October if the Supreme Court grants Trump’s cert petition. We caution however that court timelines are unpredictable, and that these dates simply represent probabilities—not certainties.”

• See also Federal Appeals Court Rejects Trump’s Claim of Absolute Immunity
• See also Washington Post – The Supreme Court will consider Donald Trump’s eligibility to be president. This morning: The court will hear arguments about Colorado banning the former president from its primary ballot because of his role in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack. Why it matters: The case, which hinges on a part of the Constitution barring insurrectionists from office, could determine Trump’s status as a candidate nationwide.