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Humans are notoriously bad at assessing their risk. In a pandemic, that’s a problem

San Francisco Chronicle: “In the first few weeks of the pandemic, the familiar options of everyday life narrowed to almost nothing. The Bay Area largely hunkered down and stayed home while the coronavirus numbers climbed. Decisions had been made for us: School and work were closed, travel and socializing designated unsafe by health officials. The framework for decision-making was limited. But it was also more clear. Now, as reopening has begun, life has become more expansive but in many ways far more complicated and confusing. There are more things to do, but risk is ever present. Put simply, it can be hard to know what to do. In part, experts say, that’s because humans are notoriously bad at assessing their own risk. How bad? “Oh, humans are terrible,” said Dr. Gaurav Suri, a professor of psychology and neuroscientist at San Francisco State who studies decision-making. “We know a lot about this.” There are many reasons why. But though the psychology can be complex, experts say we can still set up a simple framework to help us assess our risks and make choices…”

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